نشریه تکنولوژی گاز
ارائه مدل نوینی از نگهداری و تعمیرات پویا با رویکرد شکست‌ناپذیری در بهبود قابلیت اطمینان (مطالعه موردی: منطقه ده عملیات انتقال گاز ایران)
نوع مقاله : پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری مدیریت تولید و عملیات، دانشکده اقتصاد و کسب‌وکار، دانشگاه خلیج‌فارس، بوشهر، ایران
2 2. دانشیار دانشکده اقتصاد و کسب‌وکار، دانشگاه خلیج فارس، بوشهر، ایران
3 استادیار دانشکده اقتصاد و کسب و کار، دانشگاه خلیج فارس، بوشهر، ایران
چکیده
قابلیت اطمینان یکی از مهم‌ترین شاخص‌های ارزیابی عملکرد در حوزه نگهداری و تعمیرات محسوب می‌شود. تحقیق حاضر که به‌صورت آمیخته انجام‌شده است به دنبال شناسایی مؤلفه‌های شکست‌ناپذیری و بررسی تأثیر آن‌ها بر قابلیت اطمینان سیستم با استفاده از پویایی سیستم‌ها انجام‌شده است. در بخش کیفی تحقیق با استفاده از روش تحلیل مضمون، با مشارکت ۱۰ متخصص خبره سازمانی و دانشگاهی، عوامل شکست‌ناپذیری در قالب ۲۵۴ کد باز، ۱۸ کد سازمان دهنده و دو کد فراگیر با مرور ادبیات تحقیق و استفاده از نرم‌افزار ماکس کیودا[1] نسخه ۲۰۲۰ شناسایی و دسته‌بندی گردید.در ادامه و در بخش کمی تحقیق ارتباط مؤلفه‌های سازمان دهنده شکست‌ناپذیری به روش رگرسیون چندگانه باقابلیت اطمینان سیستم موردبررسی قرار گرفت. سه معیار یادگیری، افزونگی و بحث‌های اکتشافی به‌عنوان عواملی که بیشترین تأثیر بر قابلیت اطمینان سیستم را دارند شناسایی و انتخاب شدند. تأثیر این شاخص‌ها بر قابلیت اطمینان سیستم در محیطی پویا و با استفاده از نرم‌افزار ونسیم نسخه DDS شبیه‌سازی گردید. نتایج بیانگر تأثیر مثبت هر سه معیار یادگیری، افزونگی و بحث‌های اکتشافی در بهبود قابلیت اطمینان سیستم در منطقه ده عملیات انتقال گاز است و شاخص افزونگی بیشترین تأثیر و مؤلفه‌های یادگیری و بحث‌های اکتشافی در رده‌های بعدی تأثیرگذاری در بهبود قابلیت اطمینان سیستم قرار دارند.
کلیدواژه‌ها
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